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Ted Hurst III
Ted Hurst III
Tampa Bay Buccaneers· WR · WR85 on the season · 7 games
33.8
PPR points
4.8
Points per game
28.3
Half PPR points
1
Total touchdowns

The read

Ted Hurst III has 33.8 PPR points in 7 games (4.8 per game) for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He is the WR85 on the season.

His role is real: he owns a 19% share of his team's targets and 37% of the air yards.

Lately his yards after catch per reception is up: 4.0 recently against 0.8 earlier this season.

Usage

Snap share49% (was 62%)
Target share19% (was 13%)
Air yards share37% (was 25%)

Recent form against his own earlier-season baseline, same games window the app uses.

This week's matchup

His air yards share vs this deep-ball defenseCollision score 75 / 100

The collision score measures how strongly his usage runs into this defense's weak spots. Higher means the matchup leans his way.

By quarterback

PasserGamesTargetsYardsTarget share
Baker Mayfield51410358%
Jalon Daniels3106542%

Sims for his next game

Anytime touchdown vs CHI11% (OnlySports sims)
Receiving yards — over 24.5 vs CHI38% (OnlySports sims)
Receptions — over 2.5 vs CHI26% (OnlySports sims)
Scrimmage yds — over 49.5 vs CHI15% (OnlySports sims)

Simulation percentages for his next game, showing the line closest to a coin flip per market. Sims are estimates, not predictions. How they are made: the method page.

Game log

WkOppSnap %TgtAir ydsRZ touchesPPR
1CIN75%334—6.6
2CLE74%714524.7
3MIN75%371—11.0
4GB40%327—4.5
6PIT50%67817.0
7CAR56%1410.0
8ATL42%127—0.0

Season stats

Receiving

TDs1
Yards168
Targets24
Receptions11
All splits and stats (8)
Contested target rate25% (was 30%)
Drop rate0% (was 0%)
Screen target share0% (was 0%)
Target share with motion42% (was 60%)
Target share without play action100% (was 90%)
Target share on play action0% (was 10%)
Yards after catch per reception4.0 (was 0.8)
Yards per route run0.41 (was 0.76)

The deeper cuts the normal box score never shows: how he is used by formation, coverage, box count, and situation, each against his own earlier-season baseline.

Data: 2026 season, Week 10 board · computed Nov 3, 4:38 PM EST. Stats are computed by OnlySports from play-by-play data (nflverse, CC-BY-SA 4.0).

Ted Hurst III's page is the free version.
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