The read
Michael Penix Jr. has 82.8 PPR points in 6 games (13.8 per game) for the Atlanta Falcons. He is the QB25 on the season.
His role is real: he owns a 17% share of his team's carries.
Lately his epa from shotgun is down: -0.22 recently against 0.43 earlier this season.
Usage
| Snap share | 100% (was 98%) |
| Carry share | 17% (was 6%) |
Recent form against his own earlier-season baseline, same games window the app uses.
Sims for his next game
Simulation percentages for his next game, showing the line closest to a coin flip per market. Sims are estimates, not predictions. How they are made: the method page.
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap % | Tgt | Air yds | RZ touches | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | GB | 100% | 0 | 0 | — | 14.0 |
| 4 | NO | 100% | 0 | 0 | — | 12.7 |
| 5 | BAL | 95% | 0 | 0 | — | 14.4 |
| 6 | CHI | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23.1 |
| 7 | SF | 100% | 0 | 0 | — | 20.4 |
| 8 | TB | 100% | 0 | 0 | — | -1.9 |
Season stats
Passing
| TDs | 9 |
| Yards | 1282 |
| Attempts | 168 |
| Completions | 104 |
| Interceptions | 5 |
Rushing
| TDs | 0 |
| Yards | 15 |
| Carries | 17 |
All splits and stats (10)
| Bad throw rate | 16% (was 9%) |
| Blitz rate faced | 36% (was 30%) |
| EPA on play action | -0.40 (was 0.18) |
| EPA from shotgun | -0.22 (was 0.43) |
| EPA on straight dropbacks | -0.22 (was 0.42) |
| EPA from under center | -0.36 (was 0.04) |
| QB hit rate | 5% (was 2%) |
| Hurried rate | 5% (was 2%) |
| Play action rate | 18% (was 33%) |
| Pass rate from under center | 26% (was 32%) |
The deeper cuts the normal box score never shows: how he is used by formation, coverage, box count, and situation, each against his own earlier-season baseline.
Data: 2026 season, Week 10 board · computed Nov 3, 3:45 PM EST. Stats are computed by OnlySports from play-by-play data (nflverse, CC-BY-SA 4.0).