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Josh Allen
Josh Allen
Buffalo Bills · QB · QB1 on the season · 7 games
187.8
PPR points
26.8
Points per game
192.3
Half PPR points
20
Total touchdowns

The read

Josh Allen has 187.8 PPR points in 7 games (26.8 per game) for the Buffalo Bills. He is the QB1 on the season.

His role is real: he owns a 22% share of his team's carries.

Lately his yards after contact per carry is up: 2.2 recently against 1.4 earlier this season.

The rest of his schedule grades middling: his remaining opponents average rank 19.6 against QBs (rank 1 gives up the most points), with the softest spot in Week 11 against MIA.

Usage

Snap share98% (was 100%)
Carry share22% (was 31%)
Red-zone carry share31% (was 39%)
Goal-line carry share45% (was 56%)

Recent form against his own earlier-season baseline, same games window the app uses.

This week's matchup

His play action vs this play-action defenseCollision score 52 / 100

The collision score measures how strongly his usage runs into this defense's weak spots. Higher means the matchup leans his way.

Sims for his next game

Anytime touchdown vs MIN38% (OnlySports sims)
Passing touchdowns — over 1.5 vs MIN31% (OnlySports sims)
Passing yards — over 199.5 vs MIN38% (OnlySports sims)
Rushing yards — over 39.5 vs MIN36% (OnlySports sims)
Scrimmage yds — over 49.5 vs MIN22% (OnlySports sims)

Simulation percentages for his next game, showing the line closest to a coin flip per market. Sims are estimates, not predictions. How they are made: the method page.

Rest of season · Weeks 10–14

Rank 1 = defense gives up the most points at this positionavg opp rank 19.6
WK 10@ NYJ15WK 11vs MIA5WK 12vs KC27WK 13@ NE23WK 14@ GB28

Full boards: QB RB WR TE

Game log

WkOppSnap %TgtAir ydsRZ touchesPPR
1HOU100%00135.7
2DET100%00340.8
3LAC100%1-8317.5
4NE100%00218.5
5LA100%00330.5
6LV100%00118.3
8BAL95%00326.6

Season stats

Passing

TDs11
Yards1793
Attempts205
Completions135
Interceptions5

Rushing

TDs9
Yards270
Carries55

Receiving

TDs0
Yards1
Targets1
Receptions1
All splits and stats (13)
Bad throw rate14% (was 18%)
Blitz rate faced31% (was 28%)
EPA on play action0.39 (was 0.11)
EPA from shotgun0.17 (was 0.33)
EPA on straight dropbacks0.18 (was 0.25)
EPA from under center0.36 (was 0.02)
Sacks that were his fault50% (was 22%)
QB hit rate6% (was 10%)
Hurried rate6% (was 7%)
Play action rate23% (was 28%)
Pressure rate faced0% (was 0%)
Pass rate from under center29% (was 36%)
Yards after contact per carry2.2 (was 1.4)

The deeper cuts the normal box score never shows: how he is used by formation, coverage, box count, and situation, each against his own earlier-season baseline.

Data: 2026 season, Week 10 board · computed Nov 3, 4:38 PM EST. Stats are computed by OnlySports from play-by-play data (nflverse, CC-BY-SA 4.0).

Josh Allen's page is the free version.
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