The read
Dalton Kincaid has 79.1 PPR points in 7 games (11.3 per game) for the Buffalo Bills. He is the TE9 on the season.
His role is real: he owns a 19% share of his team's targets.
Lately his yards after catch per reception is down: 4.4 recently against 6.5 earlier this season.
The rest of his schedule grades middling: his remaining opponents average rank 15.2 against TEs (rank 1 gives up the most points), with the softest spot in Week 11 against MIA.
Usage
| Snap share | 66% (was 66%) |
| Target share | 19% (was 17%) |
| Air yards share | 15% (was 21%) |
Recent form against his own earlier-season baseline, same games window the app uses.
By quarterback
| Passer | Games | Targets | Yards | Target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 7 | 36 | 401 | 100% |
Sims for his next game
Simulation percentages for his next game, showing the line closest to a coin flip per market. Sims are estimates, not predictions. How they are made: the method page.
Rest of season · Weeks 10–14
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap % | Tgt | Air yds | RZ touches | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOU | 72% | 6 | 98 | — | 18.0 |
| 2 | DET | 66% | 8 | 84 | 1 | 22.5 |
| 3 | LAC | 67% | 3 | 36 | — | 3.8 |
| 4 | NE | 59% | 2 | 21 | — | 1.7 |
| 5 | LA | 70% | 2 | 17 | — | 3.7 |
| 6 | LV | 72% | 8 | 15 | 4 | 10.8 |
| 8 | BAL | 57% | 6 | 83 | 1 | 18.6 |
Season stats
Receiving
| TDs | 2 |
| Yards | 401 |
| Targets | 35 |
| Receptions | 27 |
All splits and stats (8)
| Contested target rate | 18% (was 12%) |
| Drop rate | 6% (was 6%) |
| Screen target share | 18% (was 0%) |
| Target share with motion | 53% (was 76%) |
| Target share without play action | 82% (was 82%) |
| Target share on play action | 18% (was 18%) |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.4 (was 6.5) |
| Yards per route run | 0.93 (was 1.59) |
The deeper cuts the normal box score never shows: how he is used by formation, coverage, box count, and situation, each against his own earlier-season baseline.
Data: 2026 season, Week 10 board · computed Nov 3, 3:45 PM EST. Stats are computed by OnlySports from play-by-play data (nflverse, CC-BY-SA 4.0).