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Christian Watson
Christian Watson
Green Bay Packers · WR · WR3 on the season · 8 games
146.8
PPR points
18.4
Points per game
125.8
Half PPR points
6
Total touchdowns

The read

Christian Watson has 146.8 PPR points in 8 games (18.4 per game) for the Green Bay Packers. He is the WR3 on the season.

His role is real: he owns a 22% share of his team's targets and 31% of the air yards.

Lately his yards after catch per reception is down: 3.6 recently against 5.4 earlier this season.

The rest of his schedule grades middling: his remaining opponents average rank 20.5 against WRs (rank 1 gives up the most points), with the softest spot in Week 14 against BUF.

Usage

Snap share73% (was 79%)
Target share22% (was 23%)
Air yards share31% (was 31%)

Recent form against his own earlier-season baseline, same games window the app uses.

This week's matchup

His air yards share vs this deep-ball defenseCollision score 66 / 100
His target share vs this pass defenseCollision score 57 / 100

The collision score measures how strongly his usage runs into this defense's weak spots. Higher means the matchup leans his way.

Corner watch vs NE: top corners are banged up — Carlton Davis (Questionable). Worth watching, not a lock either way.

By quarterback

PasserGamesTargetsYardsTarget share
Jordan Love866708100%

Sims for his next game

Anytime touchdown vs NE25% (OnlySports sims)
Receiving yards — over 54.5 vs NE51% (OnlySports sims)
Receptions — over 4.5 vs NE36% (OnlySports sims)
Scrimmage yds — over 49.5 vs NE56% (OnlySports sims)

Simulation percentages for his next game, showing the line closest to a coin flip per market. Sims are estimates, not predictions. How they are made: the method page.

Rest of season · Weeks 10–14

Rank 1 = defense gives up the most points at this positionavg opp rank 20.5
WK 10vs MIN29WK 11BYEWK 12@ LA28WK 13@ NO20WK 14vs BUF5

Full boards: QB RB WR TE

Game log

WkOppSnap %TgtAir ydsRZ touchesPPR
1MIN76%8127132.7
2NYJ90%1186214.1
3ATL80%1091322.6
4TB68%32317.7
5CHI80%8179—32.3
6DAL88%8145—9.4
7DET81%8101—10.7
8CAR49%10130—17.3

Season stats

Receiving

TDs6
Yards708
Targets66
Receptions42
All splits and stats (8)
Contested target rate35% (was 30%)
Drop rate4% (was 5%)
Screen target share0% (was 0%)
Target share with motion42% (was 73%)
Target share without play action92% (was 73%)
Target share on play action8% (was 28%)
Yards after catch per reception3.6 (was 5.4)
Yards per route run1.52 (was 1.91)

The deeper cuts the normal box score never shows: how he is used by formation, coverage, box count, and situation, each against his own earlier-season baseline.

Data: 2026 season, Week 10 board · computed Nov 3, 4:38 PM EST. Stats are computed by OnlySports from play-by-play data (nflverse, CC-BY-SA 4.0).

Christian Watson's page is the free version.
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